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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has totaled 9.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year.

Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Bulls have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.

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