Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled 9.8 assists per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 2.3 higher than he's compiled overall this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has played 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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