Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled 11.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.5 more than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should boost plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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