Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 5:09 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled 8.3 assists per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's totaled overall this season.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
With the home court advantage, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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