Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 10.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.3 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors.
The 76ers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance across the board.

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