Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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