Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 97th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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