Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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