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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Fred VanVleet has put up 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
  • Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
  • The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • While at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).
  • The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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