Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 8.6 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
The Jazz have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance across the board.

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