Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 8.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.8 more than he's posted in all games this year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (which also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Suns.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
The Suns have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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