Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled 8.0 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (which also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (90th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Raptors have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Trail Blazers.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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