Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has put up 7.4 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's put up in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should increase opportunities for the Kings.
With the home court advantage, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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