Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled 6.6 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch: 95th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Knicks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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