Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 95th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

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