Franz Wagner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has tallied 2.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Franz Wagner has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

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