Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The Magic will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner slots into the 92nd percentile for foul shots hit, averaging a massive 3.7 per game this year.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has successfully made 13.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.6% less than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
The Magic have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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