Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 14.0 mark, Franz Wagner's shots have spiked this season to 16.2 per game.
Franz Wagner has converted 41.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's made overall this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one; when the Pistons have the home court advantage, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5).
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Orlando Magic.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Magic have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production across the board.

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