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Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Franz Wagner has successfully made 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this season while on his home court.

Franz Wagner has played 32.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Franz Wagner has sunk a measly 27.8% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit lower than his 36.6 rate last year.

The Orlando Magic have been the least aggressive offense in the league at home this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.

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