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Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 14.0 rate, Franz Wagner's shots taken have surged this year to 16.6 per game.

Franz Wagner has played 31.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 14.6 shot attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, making this a good matchup.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Franz Wagner has converted just 24.7% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly lower than his 36.6 rate last season.

In regard to scoring, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 111.5 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

The matchup against Boston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

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