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Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Franz Wagner has attempted 16.5 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 14.0 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.

The Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shooting, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 110.6 points per game as the visting team rates 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (3.7).

The Orlando Magic are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league this year (the Nuggets).

Franz Wagner has converted just 64.3% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly less than his 87.0 mark last year.

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Nuggets are on the road (9th-least in the league).

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