Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 16.4 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Franz Wagner has attempted 6.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Franz Wagner has averaged 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (28.7%).
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Magic.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the league).
Franz Wagner will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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