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Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Franz Wagner has attempted 14.5 shots from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 12.3 rate last year.

Franz Wagner has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Franz Wagner has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Michael Porter Jr. is a strong one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a monstrous 49.3% of their field goal attempts (14th percentile).

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

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