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Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Franz Wagner has made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home.

Franz Wagner has made a terrific 3.8 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.4 mark last season.

Franz Wagner has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

As a team, the Orlando Magic have been very successful at getting to the free throw line of late: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games with 28.2 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (40.4).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have posted the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league over the last 5 games (43.6%).

Franz Wagner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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