Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has made 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Compared to last season's 4.9 rate, Franz Wagner's three-point attempts have risen this season to 6.4 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Nets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5).
The 5th-speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Magic.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 2.4 clip, Franz Wagner's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.5.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Magic check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have collected 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Nets (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
Franz Wagner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.