Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has made 38.7% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
Franz Wagner has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.
The matchup vs. Michael Porter Jr. is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Porter Jr. is away from his home court and defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have finished with just 1.4 three-pointers per game (86th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year in terms of three-point attempts.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

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