Frank Ntilikina Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Frank Ntilikina

NBA · Player Props

Frank Ntilikina

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Frank Ntilikina Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase plays for the Mavericks.
Frank Ntilikina has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Frank Ntilikina will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Frank Ntilikina has converted a mere 34.7% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 41.3 mark last year.
Frank Ntilikina has tallied 11.8 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 19th percentile.
The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 7th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.0).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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