Frank Ntilikina Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Frank Ntilikina

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Frank Ntilikina Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a good one; they have allowed the 24th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 10 games (20.4).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Bulls have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Frank Ntilikina has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Frank Ntilikina has sunk a lowly 34.8% of his field goals this season, significantly less than his 41.3 mark last season.
Frank Ntilikina has played 11.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 19th percentile.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).