Frank Ntilikina Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Frank Ntilikina

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Frank Ntilikina Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Frank Ntilikina has successfully made 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 15.4% more than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Frank Ntilikina has made 39.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 9.0% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home in terms of three-point attempts.
This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.4).
The Jazz have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Frank Ntilikina has played 13.3 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Jazz are at home (2nd-least in the league).