Frank Ntilikina Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Frank Ntilikina

NBA · Player Props

Frank Ntilikina

G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Frank Ntilikina Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Frank Ntilikina has successfully made 38.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Frank Ntilikina has tallied 12.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the league.
The matchup vs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when Caldwell-Pope is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted just 4.1 3-pointers per game (4th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Frank Ntilikina will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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