Evan Mobley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has compiled an impressive 7.9 defensive boards per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.7 defensive boards per game last season.
Evan Mobley has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile.
The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 9 games, their opposition has collected 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Evan Mobley will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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