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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has converted 7.1 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Evan Mobley has sunk 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a positive matchup.

The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Evan Mobley is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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