Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley places in the 89th percentile for field goals made, averaging an enormous 7.1 per game this year.
Evan Mobley has sunk 48.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Evan Mobley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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