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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley lands in the 87th percentile for scoring ability with the home court advantage with a phenomenal 56.5% rate this year.

Evan Mobley has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The faceoff with Al Horford places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs making an enormous 57.8% of their field goal attempts this year.

Evan Mobley stands to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. Al Horford is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Horford is away from his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game (13th percentile).

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