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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley rates in the 85th percentile for field goal performance while on his home court with an impressive 55.8% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 30.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 9th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Evan Mobley has converted 89.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 14.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Evan Mobley is expected to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have compiled 15.1 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.

The 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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