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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has made 57.5% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.

Evan Mobley has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season when playing away from home.

Evan Mobley has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Cavaliers.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Cavaliers.

The Cavaliers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The showdown with Nikola Jovic with respect to drawing fouls places in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting PFs attempting a mere 3.0 foul shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.

Evan Mobley will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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