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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has made a terrific 50.0% of his treys this season, a big improvement over his 21.3 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley places in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.7 minutes per game while on the road this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6thbest in in the league on their home court with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Evan Mobley will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley lands in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 28.0% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a difficult matchup.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).

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