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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has sunk 9.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing on the road.

Evan Mobley has played 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Magic have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers.

The matchup against the Magic may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has converted 18.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.

Evan Mobley has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).

The matchup against Orlando is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Magic are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (23.2%).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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