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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has successfully made 9.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.0 higher than he's converted overall this season while on his home court.

Evan Mobley has averaged 33.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Patrick Williams is a positive one for attempts from downtown; when defending fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.9 three-pointers per game (96th percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Cavaliers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has converted 23.2% of his shots from downtown while on his home court this year, putting him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Evan Mobley has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Patrick Williams is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when Williams is on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game (15th percentile).

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