Dyson Daniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dyson Daniels

New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Dyson Daniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dyson Daniels has converted 68.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 24.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Dyson Daniels has made 70.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 32.8% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while on the road.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA).