Dyson Daniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dyson Daniels

New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Chicago Bulls vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Dyson Daniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dyson Daniels has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.
The 2nd-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have collected 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.8 free throws per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 37.1% rate, Dyson Daniels's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 38.0%.
With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 108.4 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Chicago is a challenging one; when the Bulls are the visiting team, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (10.6).
The Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Dyson Daniels has converted just 41.7% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly less than his 57.1 mark last season.