Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2026

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Jan 1, 2026

Updated Jan 2, 2026 12:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/+123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank best in in the NBA with 16.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to 3-pointers, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 10.9 successful threes per game while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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