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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have compiled 16.9 points per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Washington may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Washington Wizards are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league on their home court over the last 10 games has been the Heat.

The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

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