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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson registers in the 92nd percentile for 3-pointers scored, tallying 2.5 per game this year.

The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson slots into the 21st percentile for unsuccessful foul shot attempts playing at home, tallying only 0.1 per game this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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