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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Duncan Robinson has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year in regard to treys.
  • The Pistons have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Miami Heat.
  • Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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