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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 82nd percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a superb 38.1% rate this year.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 8.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's superb 14.3 successful threes per game on their home court places 9th-strongest in the league this year.

Duncan Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Boston is a challenging one for scoring; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have put up the 4th-lowest FG% in the league this year (38.1%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the league while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

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