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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson has averaged 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 13.9 made threes per game ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SGs have compiled 12.1 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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