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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson registers in the 91st percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, logging 6.7 per game this year.

Duncan Robinson has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's fantastic 36.8% rate of drained threes settles in as the 8th-best in the league this year.

The matchup against the Nets is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Duncan Robinson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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