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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Duncan Robinson has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this year.

With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's exceptional 14.2 converted threes per game places 6th-highest in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Duncan Robinson has made 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.6).

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.7 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson figures to suffer a reduction in production across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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