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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has made 2.6 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson should experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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